Match Info

NETHERLANDS: DERDE DIVISIE - ROUND 18

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Dongen		USV Hercules

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.44
	5.5	5	1.36
	4.51	4.49	1.5
	4.75	4.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (5.7)	4.74 ↓ (5)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dongen
18.5%

Draw
19.1%

USV Hercules
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

18.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

17.7%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dongen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

USV Hercules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dongen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USV Hercules than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Dongen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

USV Hercules is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

USV Hercules could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently USV Hercules have a series of home games.

In this match USV Hercules is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dongen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Dongen
Dutch Derde Divisie
27.11.22	Groene Ster - Dongen	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Dongen - UNA	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Gemert - Dongen	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Dongen - UDI 19	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.10.22	Dongen - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTL
- USV Hercules
Dutch Derde Divisie
04.12.22	USV Hercules - Groene Ster	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	USV Hercules - UDI 19	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	HV & CV Quick - USV Hercules	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.10.22	USV Hercules - NAC Breda	0:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
16.10.22	USV Hercules - HSC 21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
21.08.22	USV Hercules - Dongen	4:1
27.03.22	USV Hercules - Dongen	1:3

Dongen - USV Hercules: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide