Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday


	USV Hercules		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.5
	5.5	4.4	1.43
	5	4.5	1.52
	5.4	4.5	1.45
	5.5	4.42	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.42
	6.35	4.8	1.42
	5.6	4.6	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↓ (6.86)	4.49 ↓ (5.45)	1.46 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USV Hercules
16%

Draw
20.6%

NAC Breda
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

16.8%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

9.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USV Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USV Hercules than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USV Hercules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

USV Hercules - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. USV Hercules will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USV Hercules: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

USV Hercules in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Breda is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

USV Hercules could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Breda is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's USV Hercules to win the game is with odds 7.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USV Hercules
Dutch Derde Divisie
16.10.22	USV Hercules - HSC 21	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	DEM - USV Hercules	0:3 ✺
25.09.22	Baronie - USV Hercules	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.09.22	Excelsior Maassluis - USV Hercules	1:2 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
18.09.22	USV Hercules - Gemert	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.10.22	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	4:0 ✺
30.09.22	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
12.09.22	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

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