Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Dorogi		Kaposvari Rakoczi

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.5	9.75
	1.2	4.8	9
	1.29	4.6	8.4
	1.36	4.39	10.12
	1.27	5.25	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (2.6)	4.71 ↑ (3.33)	9.27 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorogi
70.9%

Draw
19.3%

Kaposvari Rakoczi
9.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

20%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorogi's performance.

Kaposvari Rakoczi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaposvari Rakoczi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorogi than the current prediction. (-45.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorogi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaposvari Rakoczi than the current prediction. (+42.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaposvari Rakoczi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.1%	0%	4.9%

Dorogi - Kaposvari Rakoczi Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Dorogi will win (votes: 58 - 95.1%). Kaposvari will win (votes: 3 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dorogi: 89.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Dorogi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kaposva'ri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorogi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dorogi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kaposva'ri to win the game is with odds 5.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dorogi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorogi FC
Hungarian NB II
25.11.20	Ajka - Dorogi	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Dorogi - Vasas	0:2 ✺
04.11.20	Dorogi - Gyirmót	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Szolnoki MÁV - Dorogi	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Dorogi - Siofok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kaposvari Rakoczi FC
Hungarian NB II
22.11.20	Pecsi - Kaposvari Rakoczi	Pecsi MFC awarded ✺
08.11.20	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Debreceni EAC	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Ajka	3:1 ✺
01.11.20	Vasas - Kaposvari Rakoczi	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Szeged 2011	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
25.11.18	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Dorogi	2:2

Dorogi - Kaposvari Rakoczi