Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Buzanszky Jeno Stadion (Dorog) 🌤️ ...


	Dorogi		Pecsi

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.85	2.95	1.95
	3.45	3.15	1.99
	4.14	3.07	1.96
	3.7	2.9	1.95
	3.64	3.24	1.94
	3.55	3.25	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.51)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorogi
24.7%

Draw
29.3%

Pecsi
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

28.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

27.4%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Pecsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pecsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorogi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorogi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pecsi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pecsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dorogi - Pecsi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga).

Dorogi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pe'csi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pe'csi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dorogi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorogi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorogi FC
Hungarian NB II
27.11.22	Ajka - Dorogi	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Dorogi - Tiszakécske	4:2 ✺
09.11.22	Soroksár - Dorogi	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Dorogi - Siofok	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Dorogi	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Pecsi MFC
Hungarian NB II
27.11.22	Pecsi - Szentlőrinc	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	MTK Budapest - Pecsi	1:1 ✺
09.11.22	Pecsi - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Kazincbarcikai - Pecsi	1:1 ✺
31.10.22	Pecsi - Szeged 2011	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
15.05.22	Dorogi - Pecsi	3:0
28.11.21	Pecsi - Dorogi	1:2
06.12.20	Dorogi - Pecsi	0:4
02.08.20	Pecsi - Dorogi	4:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pecsi MFC
Hungarian Cup
28.10.26	Pecsi - Kisvárda	✺

Dorogi - Pecsi