Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Douanes Nouakchott		Kaédi

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.88	6.29
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.49	3.76	6.09
	1.47	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	5.97 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douanes Nouakchott
60.6%

Draw
24.2%

Kaédi
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douanes Nouakchott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kaédi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaédi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Douanes Nouakchott - Kaédi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kaédi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Douanes Nouakchott is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Douanes Nouakchott won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Douanes Nouakchott won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Douanes Nouakchott
Mauritania Ligue 1
22.12.25	Nouadhibou - Douanes Nouakchott	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal	0:3 ✺
09.12.25	Nouakchott Academie - Douanes Nouakchott	2:4 ✺
02.12.25	Douanes Nouakchott - SNIM	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Pompier - Douanes Nouakchott	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT
- FC Kaédi
Mauritania Ligue 1
20.12.25	Kaédi - Ksar	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kaédi - Gendrim	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Kaédi	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Kaédi - Chemal	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Nouakchott Academie - Kaédi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
20.01.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Kaédi	3:1
29.10.22	Douanes Nouakchott - Kaédi	4:0

Douanes Nouakchott - Kaédi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide