The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dover Athletic 32.4%
Draw 23.5%
Dorking Wanderers 44.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.9%
24.9%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
25.5%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dover Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Bates J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Nikaj G. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Sheriff D. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Barrett J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Sheriff D. ⚽,
63', 3 - 2, Lewis D. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.
Dover has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Dorking is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dorking is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dover has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dover against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Dorking Wanderers - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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