Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Southend United

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.53
	6	3.8	1.53
	5.6	3.9	1.5
	5.8	4.1	1.48
	6.12	4.32	1.53
	5.25	3.5	1.6
	5.85	4.05	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (3.44)	3.92 ↑ (3.47)	1.53 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
16%

Draw
23.6%

Southend United
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

20.6%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southend United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Dover Athletic - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Dover is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southend is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dover have a series of guest games.

In this match Southend is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League
25.01.22	Dover Athletic - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Solihull Moors - Dover Athletic	5:0 ✺
15.01.22	Wealdstone - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
02.01.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
28.12.21	Woking - Dover Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLL
- Southend United
English National League
25.01.22	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
21.01.22	Southend United - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Southend United	2:0 ✺
English National League
11.01.22	Southend United - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
08.01.22	Weymouth - Southend United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.11.21	Southend United - Dover Athletic	4:1
English FA Cup
10.11.19	Dover Athletic - Southend United	1:0

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