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Current Win Probability
Wealdstone 37.2%
Draw 32.5%
Southend United 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
25.9%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
25%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wealdstone's performance.
Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southend United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wealdstone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+22.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wealdstone - Southend United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (G) 22. McAvoy C. 5. Woodman D. 23. Agyemang T. 7. Boldewijn E. (C) 17. Hutchinson D. 8. Kadji D. 3. Georgiou A. 11. Hassan S. 9. Olomola O. 14. Obiero M.
1. Hayes N. (G) 7. Bridge J. 3. Ralph N. (C) 6. Goodliffe B. 16. Taylor H. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 28. Coker O. 17. Miley C. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 14. Hopper T. 9. Dallas A.
Substitutes
2. Cook J. 16. Diarra M. 31. Graczyk H. (G) 10. Kretzschmar M. 4. Mussa O. 19. Nkrumah D. 20. Tshikuna N. 24. Young-Coombes N.
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 22. Appiah-Forson K. 10. Austin S. 33. Boyes H. 15. Gubbins J. 23. Morton 18. Spasov S. 11. Walker J. 4. Wind G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Hassan S. 🟨,
9', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,
17', Goodliffe B. 🟥,
19', 1 - 0, Olomola O. ⚽, Hutchinson D. (A),
22', Hopper T. ↓, Gubbins J. ↑,
40', Coker O. 🟨,
45+3', Gubbins J. 🟨,
45+5', McAvoy C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hassan S. ↓, Tshikuna N. ↑,
56', Boldewijn E. 🟨,
65', Bridge J. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
69', Olomola O. ↓, Kretzschmar M. ↑,
69', Hutchinson D. ↓, Cook J. ↑,
78', Woodman D. 🟨,
82', Coker O. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
82', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 1.
Wealdstone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Southend is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Southend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Wealdstone has had a series of home games.
In this match, Southend is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wealdstone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Wealdstone - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.41%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Southend United - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.