Match Info

Division 2 - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Makario Stadium (Nicosia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Doxa Katokopias		Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.52
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.51	3.33	2.62
	2.54	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.6 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doxa Katokopias
35.9%

Draw
29.3%

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

32%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doxa Katokopias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doxa Katokopias than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Guedes L. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Milinceanu N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Katsiamis I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doxa Katokopias won 0.

Doxa Katokopias has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karmiotissa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Doxa Katokopias won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:30. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Doxa Katokopias won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Doxa	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doxa Katokopias
Cypriot Division 2
11.01.26	Ethnikos Latsion - Doxa Katokopias	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Doxa Katokopias - PAEEK	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Doxa Katokopias - Zakakiou	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	ASIL Lysi - Doxa Katokopias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTW
- Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
Cypriot Division 2
10.01.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Iraklis Gerolakkou	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - APEA Akrotiri	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Latsion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Division 2
04.01.26	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:1
Cypriot First Division
13.04.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Doxa Katokopias	2:1
02.03.24	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:4
15.02.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Doxa Katokopias	3:1
27.11.23	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:2
03.05.23	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Doxa Katokopias	2:1
16.03.23	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:0

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