Match Info

Superliga - Round 11

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Kosovo	ART Sport 2


	Drenica		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.92
	3.44	3.50	1.94	Watch
	3.34	3.38	1.99
	3.14	3.1	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drenica
27.3%

Draw
27%

Drita Gjilan
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.2%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drenica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drenica than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Drenica - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Drita (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Drita Gjilan will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Chacon R. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Chacon R. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Uka K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drenica won 1.

In recent matches, Drenica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Drita is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Drita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Drenica has had a series of away games.

Drita could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Drenica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Drenica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Drenica
Kosovo Superliga
26.10.25	Llapi - Drenica	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Drenica - Prishtina	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Ferizaj - Drenica	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Gjilani - Drenica	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LLLWW
- FC Drita Gjilan
Kosovo Superliga
26.10.25	Drita Gjilan - Ferizaj	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Drita Gjilan - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
18.10.25	Drita Gjilan - Malisheva	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Gjilani - Drita Gjilan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
17.09.25	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	0:1
28.05.23	Drenica - Drita Gjilan	1:3
02.04.23	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	3:0
26.11.22	Drenica - Drita Gjilan	1:3
01.10.22	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	2:1
01.05.22	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	1:1
06.03.22	Drenica - Drita Gjilan	2:1

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