Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 18
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 19, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	KuPS Kuopio		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5
	1.6	3.95	4.95
	1.62	4	5.33
	1.77	3.70	4.52	Watch
	1.63	3.99	5.62
	1.95	3.5	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)	3.86 ↑ (3.51)	4.85 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
55.8%

Draw
24.6%

Drita Gjilan
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drita Gjilan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KuPS Kuopio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drita Gjilan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Drita (4.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - KuPS (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KuPS Kuopio will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Drita (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 14. Pasanen S. 10. Arifi D. 13. Oksanen J. 34. Ruoppi O. 20. Toure M. 8. Pennanen P. (C)	1. Maloku F. (G) 2. Krasniqi B. (C) 15. Bejtulai E. 32. Pellumbi J. 26. Ovouka R. 14. Dabiqaj A. 8. Limaj V. 7. Ajzeraj A. 10. Balaj L. 9. Manaj A. 25. Tusha V.
Substitutes
25. Antwi C. 35. Golubickas P. 12. Hakala A. (G) 22. Konate P. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 9. Parzyszek P. 37. Pitkanen M. (G) 11. Sadiku A. 28. Seidu S. 7. Voutilainen J.	77. Abazaj K. 22. Behluli L. (G) 4. Broja R. 17. Ibrahim S. 23. Morina E. 36. Mustafa I. 94. Rexhepi L. (G) 3. Sheji B. 20. Soumahoro M. 66. Sylejmani E.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Ramadani Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Tusha V. ↓, Sheji B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Hamalainen T. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
59', Pasanen S. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
59', Toure M. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
66', Balaj L. ↓, Soumahoro M. ↑,
70', Arifi D. 🟨,
71', Arifi D. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Voutilainen J. (A),
80', 1 - 1, Dabiqaj A. ⚽, Sheji B. (A),
83', Pennanen P. 🟨,
89', Ajzeraj A. ↓, Broja R. ↑,
89', Manaj A. ↓, Abazaj K. ↑,
90', Pennanen P. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
90+2', Cisse I. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tammelan Stadion.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is a strong favorite.

There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Heinonen A. (Inactive) Konate P. (Inactive) Lotjonen A. (Red Card) Ricardo P. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.25	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:4 ✺
23.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	3:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
20.09.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	2:4 ✺
Finnish Cup
10.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- FC Drita Gjilan
Kosovo Superliga
28.09.25	Drita Gjilan - Dukagjini	3:1 ✺
25.09.25	Ballkani - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Drita Gjilan - Prishtina e Re	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Prishtina - Drita Gjilan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLT

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