Match Info

Superliga - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Drenica		Malisheva

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.10	1.90
	3.60	3.10	1.92
	3.71	2.86	2.14	Watch
	3.66	3.45	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drenica
24.9%

Draw
29%

Malisheva
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.3%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drenica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Malisheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drenica than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malisheva than the current prediction. (+3%)

Drenica - Malisheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drenica won 1.

In recent outings, Drenica has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Malisheva is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Drenica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Malisheva for this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Drenica has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Drenica against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Malisheva	11	8	2	1	25:8	17	26
7	Drenica	11	2	5	4	12:15	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Malisheva - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 48.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Drenica
Kosovo Superliga
19.10.26	Dukagjini - Drenica	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Gjilani - Drenica	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Drenica - Feronikeli	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Partizani Tirana - Drenica	2:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
20.09.26	Drenica - Llapi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLW
- KF Malisheva
Kosovo Superliga
18.10.26	Malisheva - Vushtrria	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Malisheva - Prishtina	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Drita Gjilan - Malisheva	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Malisheva - Ballkani	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Llapi - Malisheva	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
21.08.26	Malisheva - Drenica	1:1
17.03.26	Drenica - Malisheva	4:2
29.04.23	Drenica - Malisheva	1:2
25.02.23	Malisheva - Drenica	3:1
23.10.22	Drenica - Malisheva	0:0
27.08.22	Malisheva - Drenica	1:2
28.11.21	Malisheva - Drenica	2:0

Drenica - Malisheva