Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 15

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Drochtersen Assel		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.7
	1.35	5.09	7.36
	1.4	4.65	5.93
	1.6	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	4.71 ↑ (4)	5.87 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drochtersen Assel
64.4%

Draw
19.8%

Lübeck
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drochtersen Assel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Drochtersen Assel's performance.

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lübeck might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drochtersen Assel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Drochtersen Assel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lübeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hyseni H. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Hyseni H. ⚽,
17', 3 - 0, Hamid A. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
51', 4 - 0, Giwah L. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Farrona-Pulido M. ⚽,
66', 5 - 1, Hamid A. A. ⚽,
76', 5 - 2, Istefo F. ⚽,
81', 6 - 2, Wulff J. ⚽,
89', 7 - 2, Aue P. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drochtersen Assel won 1.

Drochtersen Assel has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Lübeck has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Drochtersen Assel is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Drochtersen Assel will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Drochtersen Assel won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Drochtersen Assel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Drochtersen Assel
German Regionalliga North
11.10.25	Altona - Drochtersen Assel	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Drochtersen Assel - Hannover II	4:0 ✺
01.10.25	Oldenburg - Drochtersen Assel	3:4 ✺
26.09.25	Drochtersen Assel - Bremer SV	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Drochtersen Assel - Werder Bremen II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
12.10.25	Lübeck - Hannoverscher SC	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	4:0 ✺
26.09.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Lübeck - Schöningen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
21.02.25	Lübeck - Drochtersen Assel	0:1
23.08.24	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	1:1
05.05.23	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	0:1
28.10.22	Lübeck - Drochtersen Assel	2:0
26.02.22	Lübeck - Drochtersen Assel	2:2
10.10.21	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	3:0
03.11.19	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	1:0

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