Match Info

Date: 19 November 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Druzhba Maykop		Tuapse

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Druzhba Maykop
43.9%

Draw
26.2%

Tuapse
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

26.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

19.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druzhba Maykop has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Tuapse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Druzhba Maykop that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuapse than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuapse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

Druzhba is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tuapse is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Druzhba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druzhba Maykop
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
13.11.21	Rotor 2 - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Druzhba Maykop - Forte Taganrog	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Kuban-Kholding - Druzhba Maykop	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Druzhba Maykop - Alania 2	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Anzhi Makhachkala - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLTT
- FC Tuapse
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
12.11.21	Tuapse - Anzhi Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
05.11.21	Spartak Nalchik - Tuapse	1:1 ✺
01.11.21	Tuapse - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	3:0 ✺
23.10.21	Legion Makhachkala - Tuapse	0:1 ✺
18.10.21	Tuapse - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 TTWWL

Druzhba Maykop - Tuapse