Match Info

Date: 18 October 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Tuapse		Biolog-Novokubansk Progress

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Tuapse
40.9%

Draw
25.9%

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

17.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuapse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tuapse's performance.

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Biolog-Novokubansk Progress might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuapse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biolog-Novokubansk Progress than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tuapse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Biolog will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tuapse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuapse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tuapse
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
11.10.21	Yessentuki - Tuapse	1:4 ✺
04.10.21	Tuapse - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Tuapse	5:1 ✺
20.09.21	Tuapse - SKA Rostov	0:2 ✺
08.09.21	Rotor 2 - Tuapse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLW
- Biolog-Novokubansk Progress
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
10.10.21	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Rotor 2	3:0 ✺
03.10.21	Dynamo Makhachkala - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Forte Taganrog	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Kuban-Kholding - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	2:1 ✺
08.09.21	Druzhba Maykop - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLT

Russian Cup
18.07.21	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Tuapse	4:3 penalties
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
10.05.21	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Tuapse	4:1
25.10.20	Tuapse - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	3:2

Tuapse - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress