Match Info

Mozzart Serbian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Dubočica (Leskovac)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Dubočica		Mladost Lučani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	3.5	1.75
	1.84	3.41	4.17	Watch
	4.5	3.43	1.82	Watch
	6.25	3.9	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (6)	3.56 ↓ (3.9)	2.31 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubočica
25.4%

Draw
29.3%

Mladost Lučani
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

23.7%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

23.1%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubočica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dubočica's performance.

Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladost Lučani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubočica than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dubočica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mladost Lučani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Dubočica - Mladost Lučani Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dubočica will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mladost Lučani (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Aboosah J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Alempijevic O. ⚽,
85', Stojanovic M. 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Mladost Lučani is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dubočica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Dubočica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dubočica
Serbian Prva Liga
24.10.25	Dubočica - Jedinstvo Ub	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Kabel Novi Sad - Dubočica	3:1 ✺
13.10.25	Dubočica - Mačva Šabac	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tekstilac Odžaci - Dubočica	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Dubočica - Grafičar Beograd	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTTT
- Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga
24.10.25	Partizan - Mladost Lučani	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mladost Lučani - Železničar Pančevo	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mladost Lučani - Čukarički	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Mladost Lučani - Javor Ivanjica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Dubočica - Mladost Lučani	0:2

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