Match Info

Prva NL - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: SRC Pescenica (Zagreb)


	Dubrava		Bijelo Brdo

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.1	3.05	2.1
	3.52	3.34	1.99
	2.88	3.21	2.3	Watch
	3.45	3.25	1.96
	3.33	3.33	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.41)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	2.08 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubrava
27.9%

Draw
28.2%

Bijelo Brdo
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dubrava's form might have worsened.

Bijelo Brdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bijelo Brdo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dubrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bijelo Brdo than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bijelo Brdo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cundekovic J. (G) 22. Dominic I. 10. Fintic M. 21. Karadakic M. 24. Kristo L. 4. Novak-Stanko M. 19. Olabige B. 2. Palic J. 3. Radujkovic N. 8. Tunjic M. 14. Vrdoljak M.	1. Kovacic I. (G) 27. Benic A. (C) 6. Cubel L. 10. Hrs F. 24. Ihejiofor C. 13. Jakovljevic Z. 7. Korov P. 22. Resetar D. 19. Retyi R. 16. Tochukwu R. 28. Zupan B.
Substitutes
9. Al Ghoul H. 6. Ibrahim S. 20. Jazvic F. 16. Kasalo S. 18. Lekaj K. 13. Leko G. 1. Maricevic D. (G) 15. Omazic D. 25. Prenkpalaj M.	2. Bilic N. 8. Blazevic M. 30. Dizdar J. (G) 20. Drga F. 5. Grubisic R. 11. Lozic I. 21. Matas I. 29. Sainovic A. 14. Svraka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Hrs F. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dubrava won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Dubrava has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dubrava against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bijelo Brdo	7	4	1	2	8:6	2	13
10	Dubrava	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dubrava - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dubrava
Croatian Prva NL
20.09.26	Karlovac - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hrvace - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Dubrava - Opatija	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Dubrava - Croatia Zmijavci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWTL
- NK BSK Bijelo Brdo
Croatian Prva NL
19.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Hrvace	1:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
16.09.26	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	1:2 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
11.09.26	Opatija - Bijelo Brdo	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Bijelo Brdo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
07.04.26	Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo	1:2
29.11.25	Bijelo Brdo - Dubrava	0:0
17.09.25	Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo	1:0
30.05.25	Bijelo Brdo - Dubrava	2:1
09.11.24	Bijelo Brdo - Dubrava	1:1
31.08.24	Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo	3:0
17.05.24	Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo	4:0

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