Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 30

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Igralište BSK (Bijelo Brdo)


	Bijelo Brdo		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.52	4.19	5.58
	1.49	4.1	5.85
	1.52	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.9)	3.88 ↑ (3.3)	5.33 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bijelo Brdo
59.4%

Draw
23.5%

Kustošija
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

21.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bijelo Brdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bijelo Brdo's performance.

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kustošija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bijelo Brdo than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bijelo Brdo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kustošija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bijelo Brdo won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Kustošija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bijelo Brdo is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bijelo Brdo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Bijelo Brdo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK BSK Bijelo Brdo
Croatian Prva NL
07.05.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Bijelo Brdo	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Rudeš - Bijelo Brdo	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Bijelo Brdo - Vukovar 91	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Cibalia - Bijelo Brdo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWT
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
05.05.23	Orijent - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Kustošija - Croatia Zmijavci	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija	2:1 ✺
14.04.23	Kustošija - Rudeš	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Vukovar 91 - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
18.03.23	Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija	0:1
22.10.22	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	5:2
22.05.22	Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija	2:3
27.11.21	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	1:0
23.05.21	Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija	3:3
05.12.20	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	0:0
26.10.19	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	0:3

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