Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Dugopolje		Međimurje Čakovec

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.04	3.1	3.1
	2.03	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.42	3.6
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.06	3.32	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	3.29 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dugopolje
44.1%

Draw
28.2%

Međimurje Čakovec
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

19.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dugopolje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Međimurje Čakovec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dugopolje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Međimurje Čakovec than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Međimurje Čakovec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dugopolje - Međimurje Čakovec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5).

Dugopolje is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Međimurje is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dugopolje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dugopolje will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dugopolje won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dugopolje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dugopolje
Croatian Prva NL
19.09.20	Junak Sinj - Dugopolje	2:2 ✺
16.09.20	Dugopolje - Osijek 2	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugopolje	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Dugopolje - Orijent	4:3 ✺
21.08.20	Dubrava - Dugopolje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL
- NK Međimurje Čakovec
Croatian Prva NL
26.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Junak Sinj	4:3 ✺
20.09.20	Osijek 2 - Međimurje Čakovec	6:0 ✺
16.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Orijent - Međimurje Čakovec	0:1 ✺
02.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Rudeš	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
31.10.19	Međimurje Čakovec - Dugopolje	4:2
12.04.19	Međimurje Čakovec - Dugopolje	1:2
06.10.18	Dugopolje - Međimurje Čakovec	4:0

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