Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 14

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić (Zagreb)


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Dugopolje

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.65	2.9	2.45
	2.45	3	2.5
	2.75	2.95	2.46
	2.89	2.88	2.59
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.76	3.02	2.47
	2.75	2.95	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.51)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)	2.49 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
33.1%

Draw
30.7%

Dugopolje
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Dugopolje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugopolje Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dugopolje will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dugopolje: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Druga NL and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 1.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dugopolje is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
05.11.22	Cibalia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1 ✺
28.10.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Dubrava - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0 ✺
07.10.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Orijent	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- NK Dugopolje
Croatian Prva NL
05.11.22	Dugopolje - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Croatia Zmijavci - Dugopolje	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Dugopolje - Solin	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Cibalia - Dugopolje	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Dugopolje - Bijelo Brdo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
27.08.22	Dugopolje - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0
05.03.21	Dugopolje - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:2
12.09.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugopolje	2:1
05.10.19	Dugopolje - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1
23.04.19	Dugopolje - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1
13.10.18	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugopolje	1:2
28.03.18	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugopolje	1:2

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