Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi (Dugopolje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Dugopolje		Zrinski Osječko

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	1.93	3	3.7
	2.01	3	3.7
	2	3.1	3.92
	1.97	3.08	3.92	Watch
	1.97	2.98	3.9
	2.01	3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)	3.01 ↓ (3.22)	3.79 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dugopolje
45.9%

Draw
30.2%

Zrinski Osječko
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dugopolje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Zrinski Osječko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinski Osječko than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Dugopolje - Zrinski Osječko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bartulic J. (G) 21. Bagaric D. 18. Balic D. 6. Barada D. 24. Basic M. 17. Bulicic D. 23. Katic I. 25. Koscevic Z. 22. Ljubic D. 4. Makuochukwu G. 27. Tesija M. (C)	24. Stanic M. (G) 27. Gadze G. 11. Gvozdenovic B. 77. Jankovic L. 8. Knezevic B. 17. Korov P. 23. Kupresak T. 15. Pajic M. 10. Pejic P. 14. Vidovic D. 7. Vukusic A.
Substitutes
5. Ceko D. 10. Ivanda B. 8. Kekez L. 14. Lazar F. 12. Pavela I. (G) 28. Radan T. 26. Roic R. 7. Saric D. 11. Smodlaka M.	18. Baricjak L. 12. Damjanovic D. 16. Ilicic D. 4. Juricic L. 20. Omerovic L. 9. Pejic F. 2. Vuica J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Vidovic D. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Korov P. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Vukusic A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, Koscevic Z. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 3, Koscevic Z. ⚽,
63', Balic D. ↓, Lazar F. ↑,
63', Bagaric D. ↓, Smodlaka M. ↑,
63', Knezevic B. ↓, Vuica J. ↑,
67', Koscevic Z. ↓, Saric D. ↑,
71', Stanic M. 🟨,
72', Pajic M. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', Vidovic D. 🟨,
74', Basic M. 🟨,
80', Vidovic D. ↓, Ilicic D. ↑,
84', Katic I. ↓, Ivanda B. ↑,
84', Basic M. ↓, Ceko D. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Ljubic D. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Druga NL).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Zrinski Osječko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dugopolje will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dugopolje won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Dugopolje won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dugopolje
Croatian Cup
27.11.24	Dugopolje - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:1 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
22.11.24	Sesvete - Dugopolje	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Dugopolje - Orijent	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Vukovar 91 - Dugopolje	5:0 ✺
02.11.24	Dugopolje - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTLT
- NK Zrinski Osječko
Croatian Prva NL
24.11.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Zrinski Osječko	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Zrinski Osječko - Sesvete	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Orijent - Zrinski Osječko	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Zrinski Osječko - Vukovar 91	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Jarun Zagreb - Zrinski Osječko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
18.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dugopolje	0:2
05.05.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dugopolje	4:1
01.03.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dugopolje	3:0
07.10.23	Dugopolje - Zrinski Osječko	0:0

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