Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Round 12

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić (Zaprešić)


	Jarun Zagreb		Zrinski Osječko

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	4.75
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.67	3.35	4.9
	1.67	3.49	4.68
				Watch
	1.68	3.38	4.83
	1.67	3.35	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.47)	3.36 ↓ (4.13)	4.76 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarun Zagreb
54.2%

Draw
26.9%

Zrinski Osječko
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.2%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

15.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jarun Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Zrinski Osječko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jarun Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinski Osječko than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Jarun Zagreb - Zrinski Osječko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Curcija N. (G) 17. Abramovic K. 27. Bilobrk B. 6. Cvetko I. 2. Grdenic T. 21. Herceg T. 88. Ibanez L. 8. Levanic T. 19. Pranjic J. 9. Tadic J. 18. Zahirovic A.	24. Stanic M. (G) 5. Cubel L. 27. Gadze G. 11. Gvozdenovic B. 77. Jankovic L. 23. Kupresak T. 4. Mendes M. 15. Pajic M. 10. Pejic P. 7. Vukusic A. 6. Zirdum M.
Substitutes
1. Debijadi J. (G) 25. Kosovic M. 24. Matijevic V. 4. Novak-Stanko M. 3. Pavlek F. 20. Sadikovic A. 26. Stojakovic A. 28. Tomic M. 7. Turcin T.	18. Baricjak L. 12. Damjanovic D. 16. Juricic L. 8. Knezevic B. 17. Korov P. 9. Pejic F. 20. Preljevic E. 14. Vidovic D. 2. Vuica J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Druga NL).

Recent matches Jarun is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zrinski Osječko has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Jarun is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jarun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Jarun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
19.10.24	Jarun Zagreb - Sesvete	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Jarun Zagreb - Vukovar 91	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTLW
- NK Zrinski Osječko
Croatian Prva NL
19.10.24	Bijelo Brdo - Zrinski Osječko	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Zrinski Osječko - Rudeš	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Opatija - Zrinski Osječko	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Cibalia - Zrinski Osječko	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
18.08.24	Zrinski Osječko - Jarun Zagreb	0:2
12.05.24	Jarun Zagreb - Zrinski Osječko	1:2
30.10.23	Jarun Zagreb - Zrinski Osječko	0:1
14.08.23	Zrinski Osječko - Jarun Zagreb	2:0

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