The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Duisburg 49%
Draw 28%
Fortuna Köln 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
24.2%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
24.7%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Duisburg - Fortuna Köln Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Hahn A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Sussek P. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 3.
Recent matches Duisburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fortuna Köln is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Duisburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Duisburg is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 1.6:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).