Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday


	Duisburg		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.5
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.99	3.54	3.25
	1.91	3.72	3.4	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	3.45 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
48.6%

Draw
24.9%

Lokomotive Leipzig
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lokomotive Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Duisburg - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 8. Anhari H. 5. Castaneda S. 19. Ekene C. 21. Feltscher R. 18. Jander C. 26. Mai S. (C) 16. Michelbrink J. 2. Mogultay B. 10. Pledl T. 4. Senger M.	8. Abderrahmane F. 11. Adigo R. 1. Dogan I. 34. Dombrowa T. 31. Grym R. 7. Held J. 6. Piplica Z. 23. Schutt M. 24. Sirch L. 5. Wilton L. 13. Ziane D. (C)
Substitutes
6. Bakalorz M. 9. Bakir A. 29. Bitter J. 13. Bornemann T. 24. Braune M. (G) 15. Fleckstein T. 17. Knoll M. 7. Pusch K. 23. Stierlin N.	10. Arslan M. 2. Gong E. 44. Muller N. (G) 16. Rieger N. 3. Siakam-Tchokoten W. 32. Weigel J. 15. Zimmer L.

Preview

Recent matches Duisburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokomotive Leipzig is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokomotive Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Duisburg have a series of guest games.

In this match Duisburg is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Hannover - Duisburg	3:0 ✺
14.07.23	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
08.07.23	Hamborn - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
07.07.23	Bocholt - Duisburg	1:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
27.05.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWL
- Lokomotive Leipzig
Club Friendly
09.07.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hallescher	0:0 ✺
07.07.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
04.07.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Bayreuth	1:3 ✺
30.06.23	Grimma - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2 ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.05.23	Babelsberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLWW

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