Match Info

3. Liga - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Carl-Benz Stadion (Mannheim)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, SR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Waldhof Mannheim		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.58	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.64
	2.57	3.62	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.49	3.4	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.61)	3.5 ↓ (3.59)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Waldhof Mannheim
36.4%

Draw
26.3%

Duisburg
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

25.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Waldhof will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nijhuis T. (G) 25. Ba S. 6. Hoffmann N. (C) 5. Ogbemudia O. 17. Abifade S. 28. Michel D. 22. Sietan J. 20. Asallari K. 12. Thill V. 7. Bierschenk L. 38. Masca	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. (C) 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 20. Jessen N. 6. Bulic R. 27. Coskun C. 26. Kruger F. 10. Viet C. 31. Kother D. 45. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
13. Boyd T. 14. Iwe E. 41. Kryeziu D. 9. Lohkemper F. 35. Mendes D. 16. Niemann J. (G) 21. Rieckmann J. 4. Sechelmann T. 8. Thalhammer M.	7. Bookjans J. 17. Gockan M. 18. Meuer S. 19. Muller L. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 38. Sadlek G. E. 37. Sussek P. 22. Topken T.
Coaches
Holtz L.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Kother D. ⚽, Bitter J. (A),
26', Ogbemudia O. 🟨,
26', Kother D. 🟨,
31', Thill V. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Kother D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kother D. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
46', Michel D. ↓, Thalhammer M. ↑,
46', Asallari K. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
47', Thalhammer M. 🟨,
48', 0 - 3, Lobinger L. ⚽, Kruger F. (A),
59', Ogbemudia O. ↓, Sechelmann T. ↑,
59', Masca ↓, Lohkemper F. ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Lohkemper F. ⚽, Thill V. (A),
63', Lobinger L. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
63', Kruger F. ↓, Sussek P. ↑,
75', Bierschenk L. ↓, Iwe E. ↑,
78', Coskun C. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, Topken T. ⚽,
82', Abifade S. 🟨,
82', Bitter J. ↓, Muller L. ↑,
90', Fleckstein T. 🟨,
90+3', Sietan J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:15. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
6	Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16:11	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Waldhof Mannheim - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Duisburg - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.54%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
07.04.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Hoffenheim II	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	1860 München - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - TSV Havelse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWLW
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
07.04.26	Duisburg - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Duisburg - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hansa Rostock - Duisburg	5:1 ✺
08.03.26	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.11.25	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1
12.04.24	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1
05.11.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	0:0
27.05.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	3:1
23.01.23	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3
02.05.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Duisburg	3:1
26.11.21	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3

Upcoming Matches