Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)


	Duisburg		Wuppertal

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.4	5.2
	1.53	4.25	4.88
	1.53	4.29	4.96	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.26
	1.52	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.36)	4.33 ↓ (4.85)	5.1 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
60.7%

Draw
21.3%

Wuppertal
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duisburg's form might have worsened.

Wuppertal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuppertal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuppertal than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuppertal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duisburg - Wuppertal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wuppertal (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Sussek P. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Bookjans J. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Bookjans J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 11).

Duisburg is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wuppertal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wuppertal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Duisburg is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Duisburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
25.04.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Duisburg - Köln II	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Düren - Duisburg	0:6 ✺
04.04.25	Duisburg - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rödinghausen - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTW
- Wuppertaler SV
German Regionalliga West
19.04.25	Wuppertal - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Köln II - Wuppertal	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wuppertal - Düren	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Bocholt - Wuppertal	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Wuppertal - Rödinghausen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
10.11.24	Wuppertal - Duisburg	1:2
Club Friendly
11.10.12	Wuppertal - Duisburg	1:4

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