Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga West - Round 26

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Duisburg U19		Köln U19

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	1.88
	3.29	3.92	2.02
	3.35	4.1	1.89
	3.1	3.7	1.85
	3.26	3.88	1.94
	3.15	3.8	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.27)	3.86 ↓ (4.33)	1.92 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg U19
28.6%

Draw
23.8%

Köln U19
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

21.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duisburg U19's form might have worsened.

Köln U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg U19 than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln U19 than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duisburg U19 - Köln U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg U19 won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Duisburg U19 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Duisburg U19 have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Duisburg U19 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg U19 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duisburg U19
German Junioren Bundesliga West
05.05.24	Bochum U19 - Duisburg U19	0:4 ✺
01.05.24	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Duisburg U19	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Duisburg U19 - Viktoria Köln U19	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Duisburg U19	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Arminia Bielefeld U19 - Duisburg U19	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLLW
- Köln U19
German Junioren Bundesliga West
05.05.24	Köln U19 - Paderborn U19	1:4 ✺
28.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 - Köln U19	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Köln U19 - Verl U19	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Bochum U19 - Köln U19	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Viktoria Köln U19 - Köln U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga West
03.12.23	Köln U19 - Duisburg U19	2:4
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
13.05.23	Köln U19 - Duisburg U19	2:1
German Junioren Bundesliga West
18.02.23	Duisburg U19 - Köln U19	1:1
23.04.22	Duisburg U19 - Köln U19	2:1
17.10.20	Duisburg U19 - Köln U19	1:3
08.03.20	Köln U19 - Duisburg U19	4:0
28.09.19	Duisburg U19 - Köln U19	1:2

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