Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Dukagjini		Ulpiana

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9
	1.2	5.83	11.8
	1.24	5.55	9.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.47)	5.54 ↑ (3.97)	10.23 ↑ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dukagjini
74.5%

Draw
16.5%

Ulpiana
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

22%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dukagjini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dukagjini's performance.

Ulpiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulpiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukagjini than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dukagjini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulpiana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulpiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Dukagjini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ulpiana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dukagjini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dukagjini is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dukagjini won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dukagjini won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Dukagjini
Kosovo Superliga
30.04.22	Prishtina - Dukagjini	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Dukagjini - Gjilani	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Drenica - Dukagjini	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Dukagjini - Ballkani	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Dukagjini - Drita Gjilan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWLT
- KF Ulpiana
Kosovo Superliga
30.04.22	Ulpiana - Gjilani	0:4 ✺
27.04.22	Drenica - Ulpiana	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Ulpiana - Ballkani	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Malisheva - Ulpiana	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Ulpiana - Llapi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
09.03.22	Ulpiana - Dukagjini	1:1
23.11.21	Dukagjini - Ulpiana	1:1
25.09.21	Ulpiana - Dukagjini	0:0

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