Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Drenica		Ulpiana

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	9.75
	1.22	5.29	12.57
	1.26	5.15	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.6)	5.23 ↑ (3.53)	10.77 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drenica
74%

Draw
17.5%

Ulpiana
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drenica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Drenica's performance.

Ulpiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulpiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drenica than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Drenica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulpiana than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulpiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Drenica - Ulpiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Drenica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ulpiana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Drenica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Drenica is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Drenica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Drenica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Drenica
Kosovo Superliga
24.04.22	Prishtina - Drenica	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Drenica - Dukagjini	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Gjilani - Drenica	5:0 ✺
10.03.22	Llapi - Drenica	3:3 ✺
06.03.22	Drenica - Drita Gjilan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLLTW
- KF Ulpiana
Kosovo Superliga
23.04.22	Ulpiana - Ballkani	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Malisheva - Ulpiana	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Ulpiana - Llapi	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Ulpiana - Drita Gjilan	2:3
Kosovo Cup
16.03.22	Drita Gjilan - Ulpiana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
27.02.22	Ulpiana - Drenica	3:1
16.09.21	Ulpiana - Drenica	0:1
Kosovo Cup
09.02.21	Drenica - Ulpiana	4:0

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