Match Info
Challenge Cup - Round 1Date: 11 August 2026, TuesdayLocation: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)
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Dumbarton |
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Airdrieonians |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.33 |
4 |
1.6 |
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4.33 |
3.80 |
1.60 |
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4.55 |
3.95 |
1.65 |
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4.38 |
4 |
1.65 |
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4.49 |
4.05 |
1.67 |
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4.3 |
3.85 |
1.63 |
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4.43 |
4.09 |
1.64 |
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4.3 |
3.8 |
1.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.39 ↓ (4.56) |
3.94 ↓ (4.18) |
1.63 ↑ (1.54) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dumbarton 20.8% | Draw 23.2% | Airdrieonians 56% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Airdrieonians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Dumbarton - Airdrieonians Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, MacDonald D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 1, Gilfedder A. ⚽, Webster K. (A),
- 63', 1 - 2, Gibson L. ⚽, Mebude D. (A),
- 79', 1 - 3, Yates M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Airdrieonians is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:41. (average 1.5:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Airdrieonians ✔ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 12 |
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| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Scottish Cup | | | 18.01.25 | Dumbarton - Airdrieonians | 1:5 | | Scottish League Cup | | | 20.07.24 | Dumbarton - Airdrieonians | 3:4 | | 15.07.23 | Airdrieonians - Dumbarton | 2:0 | | Scottish League One | | | 16.04.22 | Airdrieonians - Dumbarton | 3:2 | | 02.01.22 | Dumbarton - Airdrieonians | 0:1 | | 23.10.21 | Airdrieonians - Dumbarton | 3:2 | | 07.08.21 | Dumbarton - Airdrieonians | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;