Match Info

League One - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Airdrieonians		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.45
	2.55	3.30	2.30
	2.80	3.15	2.23
	2.53	3.70	2.51
	3.25	3.72	2	Watch
	2.50	3.65	2.45
	2.48	3.50	2.38	Watch
	2.47	3.50	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.98)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	2.35 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
34.7%

Draw
26.2%

East Kilbride
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

25.6%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Airdrieonians's performance.

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and East Kilbride might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Kilbride could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Airdrieonians - East Kilbride Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). East Kilbride will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sneddon J. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 4. Ross C. (C) 5. Fisher S. 14. Devine A. 6. Simpson E. 11. Bridge A. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Taylor K. 10. Yates M. 9. Mebude D.	1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. (C) 24. O'Connor D. 4. Hamilton J. 19. Calder O. 26. Armstrong R. 22. Smith A. 10. Zaid M. 11. McGuffie C. 18. Gray F. 33. Moffat O.
Substitutes
21. Adams R. (G) 12. Boateng K. 3. Easton E. 31. Gallagher D. 29. Iserhienrhien D. 17. James H. 7. Mahon R. 18. McLeish L. 26. Williams D.	8. Balde J. 17. Foster K. 7. McGrattan L. 23. McKenna C. 12. Ross E. 6. Spalding A. 2. Steele A. 21. Trialist A 16. Trialist B

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', O'Connor D. 🟨,
26', Yates M. 🟨,
39', Simpson E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Smith A. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
63', McGuffie C. ↓, Balde J. ↑,
64', Fisher S. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Fagan S. ⚽, McGrattan L. (A),
66', Gallagher G. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
69', Gray F. 🟨,
72', Yates M. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
76', Bridge A. ↓, Iserhienrhien D. ↑,
76', MacDonald D. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
78', Fagan S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, McLeish L. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Boateng K. 🟨,

Preview

Airdrieonians has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

East Kilbride's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Airdrieonians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

East Kilbride is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

East Kilbride: 3.13% Airdrieonians: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	East Kilbride	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
5	Airdrieonians	9	3	3	3	7:11	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Airdrieonians - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

East Kilbride - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
01.08.26	Cove Rangers - Airdrieonians	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	Airdrieonians - Annan Athletic	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Clyde - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Dundee - Airdrieonians	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLL
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
01.08.26	East Kilbride - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	St. Mirren - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
18.07.26	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	5:3 ✺
14.07.26	Cove Rangers - East Kilbride	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	East Kilbride - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
12.10.24	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	1:2 penalties
Scottish League Cup
16.07.24	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	8:0

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