Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Dumiense		Portosantense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.76	3.45	4.76
	1.77	3.36	4.76
	1.73	3.38	4.4
	1.74	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.22)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)	4.5 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
52.5%

Draw
27.1%

Portosantense
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dumiense's performance.

Portosantense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portosantense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portosantense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portosantense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Dumiense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dumiense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Marítimo B - Dumiense	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Dumiense	8:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.11.23	Dumiense - Camacha	0:5 ✺
05.11.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Dumiense	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Dumiense - Mirandela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTL
- CD Portosantense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Portosantense - Os Sandinenses	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Limianos - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Vila Real - Portosantense	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Portosantense - Ribeirão	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Portosantense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLW

Dumiense - Portosantense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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