Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vila Real		Portosantense

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.65
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.49	3.07	2.91
	2.49	3.07	2.91
	2.41	3.1	2.74
	2.35	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.85)	3.08 ↑ (3.07)	2.79 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
37.7%

Draw
29.6%

Portosantense
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

29.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Real's performance.

Portosantense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portosantense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portosantense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portosantense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Vila Real is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portosantense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vila Real have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.11.23	Marítimo B - Vila Real	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Camacha - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Vila Real	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Vila Real - Mirandela	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Dumiense - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTTL
- CD Portosantense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.11.23	Portosantense - Ribeirão	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Portosantense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Montalegre - Portosantense	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Brito - Portosantense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.09.23	Portosantense - Nacional	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLL

Vila Real - Portosantense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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