The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dunav Ruse 31.6%
Draw 29.2%
Botev Vratsa 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
30.2%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
29.8%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunav Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Vratsa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Vratsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dunav Ruse - Botev Vratsa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Kitanov G. (G) 88. Todorov D. 5. Antoniou K. 4. Cabarcas Perez J. C. 2. Dilchovski M. 44. Vidakovic V. 14. Apostolov R. 10. Boychev K. 11. Minchev D. 9. Valino A. 23. Saint-Louis J.
94. Orlinov M. (G) 3. Sanyang S. 4. Goranov I. 36. Stoev M. 25. Buchkov A. 8. Stoyanov A. 12. Yurukov I. 97. Naydenov V. 7. Tsonev R. 10. Gallegos J. 79. Petkov M.
Substitutes
39. Alves A. 36. Appiah C. 51. Budinov I. 24. Gavrilov S. 18. Keita I. 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 22. Predev S. 77. Simeonov A. 78. Sou E. 19. Stefanov S. 6. Yovkov S.
11. Achkov M. 88. Boyanov L. 21. Dimitrov M. 9. Genov D. 90. Gigov F. 81. Hadji K. 6. Kichukov A. 17. Mechev S. 24. Smolenski M. 98. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Lukanov E.
Simov T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Saint-Louis J. ⚽, Todorov D. (A),
30', Naydenov V. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Valino A. ⚽, Boychev K. (A),
41', Yurukov I. 🟨,
43', Apostolov R. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Sanyang S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stoyanov A. ↓, Smolenski M. ↑,
46', Naydenov V. ↓, Gigov F. ↑,
46', Apostolov R. ↓, Gavrilov S. ↑,
46', Dilchovski M. ↓, Predev S. ↑,
52', Cabarcas Perez J. C. 🟨,
64', Todorov D. ↓, Alves A. ↑,
65', Tsonev R. 🟨,
73', Gallegos J. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
74', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
74', Boychev K. ↓, Sou E. ↑,
80', Budinov I. 🟨,
84', Yurukov I. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunav Ruse won 0.
Dunav Ruse is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Botev Vratsa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dunav Ruse may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Dunav Ruse has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 0.6:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dunav Ruse against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).