The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botev Vratsa 23.5%
Draw 27.5%
Botev Plovdiv 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
28.3%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
27.4%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Botev Vratsa - Botev Plovdiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
Botev Plovdiv will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% โ 97.53%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Vasilev L. (G) 4. Goranov I. 36. Stoev M. 3. Sanyang S. 6. Kichukov A. 12. Yurukov I. 81. Hadji K. 24. Smolenski M. 10. Gallegos J. 79. Petkov M. 99. Borukov P.
29. Naumov D. (C) 82. Mendes V. 87. Petrov S. 22. Senger M. 27. Hein B. 77. Lucas Araujo 10. Chandarov A. 66. Meotti C. 7. Iliev N. 90. Kalu S. 9. Chidera O. M.
Substitutes
11. Achkov M. 88. Boyanov L. 25. Buchkov A. 21. Dimitrov M. 9. Genov D. 90. Gigov F. 17. Mechev S. 97. Naydenov V. 23. Stoyanov L. (G) 7. Tsonev R.
20. Awany T. 88. Chimezie W. 28. Jocu H. 15. Kostov B. 30. Mascote 21. Prandzhev N. (G) 19. Rodrigues M. 45. Silva E. 4. Soldo N. 23. Tonev D. 16. Vidolov V.
Coaches
Simov T.
Genchev S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Borukov P. ⚽,
31', Goranov I. 🟨,
40', Mendes V. ↓, Kostov B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chidera O. M. ↓, Mascote ↑,
46', Iliev N. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
55', Smolenski M. 🟨,
56', Petrov S. 🟨,
61', Kichukov A. ↓, Tsonev R. ↑,
61', Smolenski M. ↓, Naydenov V. ↑,
66', Chandarov A. ↓, Silva E. ↑,
70', Borukov P. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
75', Naydenov V. 🟨,
75', Meotti C. ↓, Tonev D. ↑,
76', Genov D. 🟨,
78', Rodrigues M. 🟨,
83', Gallegos J. ↓, Gigov F. ↑,
90+1', Tonev D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 1.
Botev Vratsa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Botev Plovdiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Botev Plovdiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Botev Vratsa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now
Botev Plovdiv: 0.43% Botev Vratsa: 0.16%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Botev Plovdiv
10
5
1
4
16:14
2
16
9
Botev Vratsa
10
2
3
5
9:19
-10
9
Last Results with these Odds
Botev Vratsa - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.