Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 17

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Dunaújváros		Paks II

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.45	4.7
	1.48	4.3	5.17
	1.52	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	4.36 ↑ (4.33)	4.79 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunaújváros
60.4%

Draw
20.7%

Paks II
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

20.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

20%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunaújváros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Paks II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunaújváros than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paks II than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Dunaújváros - Paks II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paks II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paks II has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dunaújváros is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunaújváros FC
Hungarian NB III Southwest
15.11.25	Pénzügyőr - Dunaújváros	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ferencváros II - Dunaújváros	4:2 ✺
26.10.25	Dunaújváros - Pecsi	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Szekszárd - Dunaújváros	0:4 ✺
12.10.25	Dunaújváros - Majosi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWW
- Paks II
Hungarian NB III Southwest
09.11.25	Paks II - Szekszárd	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Paks II - Kaposvari Rakoczi	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Siofok - Paks II	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Paks II - Balatonlelle	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Paks II - Iváncsa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL

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