Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Durango		Leioa

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.98	2.88
	2.72	2.97	2.73
	2.84	2.65	2.84	Watch
	2.42	2.94	2.9
	2.02	3.3	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.02)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.93 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
37.4%

Draw
31.1%

Leioa
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Durango's form might have worsened.

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Durango - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2.

In recent matches, Leioa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Durango could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Durango won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Durango won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Eibar C - Durango	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Zarautz KE - Durango	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Aretxabaleta - Durango	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Durango - Pasaia	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTTT
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Leioa - Aretxabaleta	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Zamudio - Leioa	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Leioa - Santurtzi	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Real Sociedad C - Leioa	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Leioa - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.04.25	Leioa - Durango	1:3
06.12.24	Durango - Leioa	0:1
02.03.24	Leioa - Durango	2:1
12.10.23	Durango - Leioa	2:1
11.02.23	Durango - Leioa	1:2
08.10.22	Leioa - Durango	1:3
05.02.22	Leioa - Durango	0:0

Durango - Leioa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide