Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	San Ignacio		Durango

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.2
	2.17	3.06	3.34
	3.06	2.18	3.39	Watch
	2.2	2.92	3.3
	1.98	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.93)	2.88 ↓ (3.2)	3.34 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Ignacio
40%

Draw
32.2%

Durango
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Ignacio's form might have worsened.

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Ignacio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-4%)

San Ignacio - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Ignacio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Ignacio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	San Ignacio - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	San Ignacio - Real Sociedad C	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Pasaia - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLLT
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.11.25	Durango - Derio	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Touring KE - Durango	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Durango - Leioa	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Eibar C - Durango	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:0
21.12.24	Durango - San Ignacio	3:1
14.01.24	Durango - San Ignacio	2:1
21.01.23	San Ignacio - Durango	2:1
17.09.22	Durango - San Ignacio	1:3
23.02.22	San Ignacio - Durango	1:1
12.10.21	Durango - San Ignacio	2:2

San Ignacio - Durango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide