The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Durban City 28.9%
Draw 31.5%
Cape Town City 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
33%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
33.4%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Cape Town City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cape Town City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cape Town City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Durban City - Cape Town City Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Durban City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cape Town City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Motsepe Foundation Championship (Relegation Group) and 6).
Maritzburg United has the most likely position - 16 (26.22%), has project points - 31, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Cape Town City has the most likely position - 5 (16.12%), has project points - 42, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality12, importance38, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maritzburg United won 0.
Maritzburg United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cape Town City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Maritzburg United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Cape Town City will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Maritzburg United won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Maritzburg United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
Africa
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