The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Supersport United 53.2%
Draw 28.2%
Durban City 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
30.9%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
29.4%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Supersport United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Supersport United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Supersport United - Durban City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Supersport United will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Durban City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Supersport United: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification) and 15 in the zone Motsepe Foundation Championship (Relegation Group)).
Supersport United has the most likely position - 2 (53.12%), has project points - 50, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ccl (53%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Maritzburg United has the most likely position - 15 (22.19%), has project points - 31, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ccl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has small quality12, big importance72, match rating42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Supersport United won 4.
Recent matches Supersport United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Maritzburg United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Maritzburg United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Supersport United is a favorite.
Last 25 head-to-head matches Supersport United won 14 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Supersport United won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-14.
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