Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Durban City		Leruma United

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.4	8.5
	1.31	4.5	8.6
	1.29	4.76	9.91
	1.31	4.59	9.39	Watch
	1.27	4.75	9.9
	1.31	4.5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.59)	4.58 ↑ (3.25)	9.15 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durban City
70.1%

Draw
19.9%

Leruma United
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

26.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durban City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Durban City's performance.

Leruma United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Durban City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leruma United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Durban City - Leruma United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Magawana S. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Maseko S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Maseko S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion Group: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Durban City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leruma United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Durban City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leruma United have a series of home games.

In this match Durban City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durban City
South African Nedbank Cup
04.12.24	Durban City - Highbury	1:0 ✺
South African First Division
24.11.24	Orbit College - Durban City	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Durban City - JDR Stars	5:2 ✺
01.11.24	Durban City - University of Pretoria	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Black Leopards - Durban City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWLL
- Leruma United
South African Nedbank Cup
04.12.24	Leruma United - Pretoria Callies	0:1 ✺
South African First Division
01.12.24	Leruma United - Hungry Lions	2:3 ✺
24.11.24	Leruma United - Highbury	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Baroka - Leruma United	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Leruma United - Kruger United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

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