Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 23

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Durban City		Upington City

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.49	3.65	6.4
	1.47	3.77	7.12	Watch
	1.45	3.64	7.42
	1.49	3.65	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	6.67 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durban City
61.5%

Draw
24.8%

Upington City
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durban City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Durban City's performance.

Upington City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (+3%)

Durban City - Upington City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Kamatuka J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Durban City is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Durban City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Durban City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durban City
South African First Division
15.03.25	Leruma United - Durban City	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Durban City - Orbit College	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
09.03.25	Durban City - Marumo Gallants	0:1 penalties ✺
South African First Division
01.03.25	Hungry Lions - Durban City	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Baroka - Durban City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWL
- Upington City FC
South African First Division
15.03.25	Kruger United - Upington City	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Upington City - Black Leopards	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Casric Stars - Upington City	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Upington City - Leruma United	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Pretoria Callies - Upington City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
03.04.24	Durban City - Upington City	2:0
02.12.23	Upington City - Durban City	2:0

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