Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 19

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Durban City

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.6
	2.91	2.78	2.71
	2.83	2.83	2.63
	2.71	2.93	2.5
	2.8	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.81 ↓ (2.91)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
32.5%

Draw
32.5%

Durban City
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

31.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Baroka - Durban City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Kgosietsile K. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Maseko S. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Sniper ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baroka won 1.

Baroka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Durban City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baroka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Durban City have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Baroka won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:18 (average 0.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Baroka won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African Nedbank Cup
15.02.25	Orlando Pirates - Baroka	3:1 ✺
South African First Division
09.02.25	Baroka - University of Pretoria	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Venda - Baroka	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Baroka - Hungry Lions	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	JDR Stars - Baroka	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTT
- Durban City
South African Nedbank Cup
14.02.25	Durban City - TS Galaxy	2:1 ET ✺
South African First Division
07.02.25	Durban City - Venda	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Durban City - Kruger United	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Casric Stars - Durban City	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Durban City - Hungry Lions	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
18.10.24	Durban City - Baroka	1:0
19.12.23	Durban City - Baroka	1:2
24.09.23	Baroka - Durban City	0:0
South African Premier Soccer League
21.05.22	Durban City - Baroka	1:0
11.09.21	Baroka - Durban City	0:1
23.04.21	Durban City - Baroka	1:1
24.10.20	Baroka - Durban City	2:1

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