The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa 48.4%
Draw 23.1%
Newcastle United 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
22%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
22.9%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Aston Villa - Newcastle United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ramsey E. (G) 5. Kielland J. 4. Patten A. (C) 3. Harviken M. 38. Maltby R. 19. Murphy L. 18. Mullet G. 13. Hijikata M. 24. Deslandes O. 27. McAulay M. 25. Taylor M.
12. Rendell K. (G) 2. Wardlaw C. 30. Gale J. 4. Nobbs J. (C) 15. Nemeth H. 22. Joel L. 23. Evans G. 11. Gregory F. 10. Lambert M. 33. Kiernan L. 20. Sevenius O.
Substitutes
17. Grant C. 40. Kelly S. (G) 21. Kendall L. 16. Maritz N. 23. Okuma A. (G) 33. Scott K. 20. Vangsgaard A. 14. Wilms L.
16. Antonsdottir H. 19. Bradley K. 99. Cataldo L. 45. Gregson C. 25. Mannion A. 5. Purfield J. 53. Richardson A. 3. Stokes D. 1. Tamminen A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Murphy L. ⚽, Mullet G. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Sevenius O. ⚽, Lambert M. (A),
45', Maltby R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Hijikata M. ↓, Kendall L. ↑,
62', Murphy L. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
62', Patten A. ↓, Wilms L. ↑,
63', Nobbs J. ↓, Stokes D. ↑,
64', Gale J. ↓, Gregson C. ↑,
64', Wardlaw C. ↓, Cataldo L. ↑,
64', Lambert M. ↓, Bradley K. ↑,
70', Mullet G. ↓, Vangsgaard A. ↑,
74', Maltby R. ↓, Scott K. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Kendall L. ⚽,
87', Evans G. 🟨,
87', Joel L. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Kendall L. ⚽,
Preview
Aston Villa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Newcastle is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Newcastle could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Aston Villa has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Newcastle has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aston Villa holding a narrow advantage.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.