Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Kyiv		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.72	3.2	2.72	Watch
	2.81	3.15	2.8
	2.79	3.15	2.79	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.62
	2.81	3.35	2.77
	2.75	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.25)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
34.9%

Draw
30%

Viktoria Plzeň
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	44.4%	38.9%

Dynamo Kyiv - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Plzeň will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bushchan G. (G) 40. Bilovar K. 4. Popov D. 32. Mykhavko T. 20. Karavaev O. 6. Brazhko V. 10. Shaparenko M. 2. Vivcharenko K. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 15. Rubchynskyi V. 11. Vanat V.	16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 22. Cadu 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 31. Sulc P. 19. Souare C. 11. Vydra M. 33. Jirka E.
Substitutes
45. Bragaru M. 3. Dyachuk M. 39. Guerrero E. 22. Kabaev V. 23. Malysh N. 51. Morgun V. (G) 91. Mykhaylenko M. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 24. Tymchyk O. 9. Voloshyn N.	30. Baier V. (G) 24. Havel M. 2. Hejda L. 10. Kopic J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 9. Ricardinho 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 51. Vasulin D.
Coaches
Shovkovsky O.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Markovic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Vydra M. ⚽, Jirka E. (A),
64', Rubchynskyi V. ↓, Kabaev V. ↑,
64', Karavaev O. ↓, Tymchyk O. ↑,
68', Brazhko V. 🟨,
71', Souare C. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
73', Vivcharenko K. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
76', Jirka E. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
80', Havel M. 🟨,
85', Cerv L. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
85', Vydra M. ↓, Sloncik T. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Sulc P. ⚽, Kalvach L. (A),
90+5', 1 - 2, Kabaev V. ⚽, Brazhko V. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Volksparkstadion.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Dynamo have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo: Dubinchak V. (Red Card) Pikhalyonok O. (Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Adu P. K. (Personal Reasons) Durosinmi R. (Surgery) Sene C. (Inactive) Sykora J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo: Yarmolenko A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
23.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Ferencvárosi	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Inhulets	5:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	Vorskla Poltava - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
23.11.24	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Bohemians 1905	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
03.11.24	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0 ✺
Czech Cup
30.10.24	Ústí nad Labem - Viktoria Plzeň	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.18	Dynamo Kyiv - Viktoria Plzeň	2:0
11.07.15	Viktoria Plzeň - Dynamo Kyiv	0:0
10.02.15	Dynamo Kyiv - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1

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