Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 4
China	04:00	QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 2
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 9
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
International	20:00	Disney+, SportsMax App


	Viktoria Plzeň		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.95
	4	3.3	1.95
	3.95	3.45	1.98
	4.22	3.43	2
	4.17	3.46	1.92	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.95
	4.19	3.58	2.01
	4	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.7)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
23.4%

Draw
27.9%

Real Sociedad
48.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.8%

27%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	20%	65.7%

Viktoria Plzeň - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jedlicka M. (G) 5. Paluska J. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 24. Havel M. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 31. Sulc P. 22. Cadu 33. Jirka E. 80. Adu P. K.	1. Remiro A. (G) 27. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 12. Lopez J. 14. Kubo T. 4. Zubimendi M. 17. Gomez S. 24. Sucic L. 9. Oskarsson O. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Kopic J. 18. Mosquera J. 20. Panos J. 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 19. Souare C. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 51. Vasulin D. 11. Vydra M. 1. Wiegele F. (G)	11. Becker S. 6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 15. Gonzalez U. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 23. Mendez B. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U.
Coaches
Trousil J.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Adu P. K. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
37', Paluska J. 🟨,
42', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cerv L. 🟨,
60', Kubo T. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
72', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
73', Jirka E. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
73', Cadu ↓, Souare C. ↑,
74', Lopez J. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
81', Zubeldia I. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
88', Adu P. K. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Vasulin D. ⚽, Kalvach L. (A),
90+4', Sulc P. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
90+6', Havel M. 🟨,
90+6', Aramburu J. 🟨,
90+7', Sucic L. 🟨,
90+8', Aguerd N. 🟨,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Plzeň could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plzeň have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Adu P. K. (Yellow Cards) Durosinmi R. (Surgery) Dweh S. (Red Card) Hejda L. (Muscle Injury) Sene C. (Inactive) Sykora J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Ankle Injury) Marin P. (Muscle Injury) Turrientes B. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
03.11.24	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0 ✺
Czech Cup
30.10.24	Ústí nad Labem - Viktoria Plzeň	3:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.10.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	PAOK - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.24	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT

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