Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	10:00	SportsEngine Play


	Dynamo Vologda		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.64	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	5.18 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Vologda
57.5%

Draw
25%

Iskra Smolensk
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

21.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Vologda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Vologda than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Vologda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskra Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo Vologda - Iskra Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Sokolov V. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Vasiliev M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
77', 1 - 2, Antonov I. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Krivoruchko D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Sokolov V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Dynamo Vologda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iskra has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Iskra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dynamo Vologda is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dynamo Vologda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dynamo Vologda	27	7	6	14	29:36	-7	27
14	Iskra Smolensk	27	6	7	14	26:52	-26	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Vologda
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
30.08.26	Murom - Dynamo Vologda	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Dynamo Vologda	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
23.08.26	Dynamo Vologda - Luki-Energiya	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Dynamo Vologda	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
13.08.26	Dynamo Vologda - Volga Tver	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTTW
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
29.08.26	Iskra Smolensk - Baltika 2	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Yenisey 2 - Iskra Smolensk	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Iskra Smolensk - Chertanovo	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Kaluga - Iskra Smolensk	5:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
08.08.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Iskra Smolensk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
16.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Dynamo Vologda	2:1

Dynamo Vologda - Iskra Smolensk