Match Info

ALGERIA: Ligue 2 - Round 29

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday


	E Sour El Ghozlane		CA Batna

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.78	3.73	3.2
	1.79	3.73	3.2
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.92	3.75	3.5
	1.85	3.05	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.55)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	3.71 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

E Sour El Ghozlane
50.1%

Draw
25.6%

CA Batna
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

26.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

25.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

E Sour El Ghozlane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that E Sour El Ghozlane's form might have worsened.

CA Batna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CA Batna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for E Sour El Ghozlane than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for E Sour El Ghozlane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CA Batna than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CA Batna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	0%	13.2%

E Sour El Ghozlane - CA Batna Predictions

Users Predictions: E Sour El Ghozlane will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

E Sour El Ghozlane could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match E Sour El Ghozlane is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches E Sour El Ghozlane won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams E Sour El Ghozlane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- E Sour El Ghozlane
Algerian Ligue 2
24.05.24	Olympique Akbou - E Sour El Ghozlane	3:0 ✺
18.05.24	E Sour El Ghozlane - Chelghoum	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	E Sour El Ghozlane - El Harrach	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Khroub - E Sour El Ghozlane	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	E Sour El Ghozlane - Khémis El Khechna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW
- CA Batna
Algerian Ligue 2
18.05.24	Khémis El Khechna - CA Batna	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	CA Batna - Khroub	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	El Harrach - CA Batna	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	CA Batna - Aïn Mlila	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	CA Batna - MSP Batna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
24.01.24	CA Batna - E Sour El Ghozlane	1:0
10.02.23	E Sour El Ghozlane - CA Batna	1:1
01.10.22	CA Batna - E Sour El Ghozlane	1:1

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