Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	EC Noroeste		São Bento

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.2
	2.16	3.23	3.19
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.17	3.28	3.2
	2.11	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.81)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	3.15 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
42.7%

Draw
28.2%

São Bento
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.3%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Noroeste's performance.

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Bento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Noroeste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

EC Noroeste - São Bento Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noroeste will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Everton Sena ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, de Moura C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São Bento is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches Noroeste is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Bento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
16.03.24	EC Noroeste - Taubaté	5:1 ✺
10.03.24	CA Juventus - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	5:2 ✺
02.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Monte Azul - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTT
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
16.03.24	São Bento - São José-SP	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Rio Claro - São Bento	3:3 ✺
06.03.24	São Bento - Linense	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
21.08.23	São Bento - EC Noroeste	0:2
15.07.23	EC Noroeste - São Bento	0:0
19.10.21	São Bento - EC Noroeste	0:1
14.09.21	EC Noroeste - São Bento	0:1

EC Noroeste - São Bento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide