Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)
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 |
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EC Noroeste |
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Velo Clube |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.3 |
4.45 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3 |
4.31 |
 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
2.88 |
4 |
|
 |
1.89 |
2.97 |
4.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.22) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
4.25 ↑
(3.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
EC Noroeste
48.1% | Draw
30.3% | Velo Clube
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Noroeste's performance.Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Velo Clube might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Noroeste that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velo Clube could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.EC Noroeste - Velo Clube Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Pedro Carrerette ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 0, Peixoto ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 0, Pedro Carrerette ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 2.Recent performances by Noroeste have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Velo Clube is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Noroeste could have a small edge in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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